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Red51
395028.6
346022.3
33317.8
Blue125
56448.3
56932.1
54529.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607105010015020051125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3950
#31
28.60.9
24.523.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.6
564
#2
48.34.6
16.621.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3460
#43
22.30.9
22.121.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
569
#29
32.14.6
25.730.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
333
#36
17.80.9
15.114.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
545
#27
29.44.6
26.931.6
Auto
Teleop
End