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Red251
403979.9
188419.3
33453.4
Blue161
115633.9
27133.3
35429.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16179050100200250300350251161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#11
79.91.7
78.680.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 45.9
1156
#24
33.91.2
32.433.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
334
#1
53.41.7
52.153.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.1
271
#37
33.31.2
31.833.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1884
#38
19.32.3
17.519.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
354
#7
29.11.5
27.128.6
Auto
Teleop
End