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Red118
123050.3
394032.3
37533.0
Blue175
27133.3
115633.9
35429.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12375050100150200250300118175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
1156
#24
33.91.5
29.831.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
375
#18
33.00.0
32.933.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
271
#37
33.31.5
29.230.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3940
#22
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
354
#7
29.12.1
23.525.6
Auto
Teleop
End