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Red106
123050.3
37533.0
394032.3
Blue136
115633.9
27133.3
35429.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12471050100150200250300106136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.2
50.550.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
1156
#24
33.90.9
28.829.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
375
#18
33.00.2
33.132.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
271
#37
33.30.9
28.229.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3940
#22
32.30.2
32.432.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
354
#7
29.11.3
22.323.5
Auto
Teleop
End