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Quarterfinal 1-12014 New York City Regional
Red161
33453.4
188419.3
403979.9
Blue102
317136.6
260148.2
301724.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152105050200250300161102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#11
79.90.3
77.4→77.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 31.7
2601
#14
48.20.2
49.2→49.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
334
#1
53.40.3
50.9→51.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.8
3171
#40
36.60.2
37.6→37.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1884
#38
19.30.4
15.9→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.1
3017
#9
24.30.2
25.3→25.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—