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Red175
403979.9
188419.3
33453.4
Blue108
315848.3
341945.1
35330.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14812350100200250300175108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#11
79.90.5
77.377.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.6
48.30.3
49.348.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
334
#1
53.40.5
50.851.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
45.10.3
46.145.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1884
#38
19.30.7
15.816.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
353
#34
30.60.3
31.631.3
Auto
Teleop
End