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Quarterfinal 1-22014 New York City Regional
Red122
188419.3
33453.4
403979.9
Blue62
260148.2
317136.6
301724.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15310405020025030012262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#11
79.90.4
77.7→77.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 31.7
2601
#14
48.20.8
49.0→48.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
334
#1
53.40.4
51.2→50.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.8
3171
#40
36.60.8
37.4→36.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1884
#38
19.30.5
16.3→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.1
3017
#9
24.30.8
25.2→24.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—