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Semifinal 1-22014 New York City Regional
Red191
33453.4
188419.3
403979.9
Blue86
35330.6
315848.3
341945.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15012205010020025030019186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#11
79.90.8
77.8→78.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 31.6
3158
#5
48.30.7
48.9→48.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
334
#1
53.40.8
51.4→52.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.3
3419
#6
45.10.7
45.8→45.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1884
#38
19.31.0
16.5→17.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.4
353
#34
30.60.7
31.3→30.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—