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Red55
28956.2
188419.3
260148.2
Blue71
341945.1
512312.7
457126.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578301001502002503005571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#14
48.20.3
36.436.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
45.10.4
41.841.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1884
#38
19.30.5
14.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
4571
#19
26.30.6
21.621.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2895
#64
6.20.5
10.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
5123
#57
12.70.6
15.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End