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Red30
139632.3
234419.0
515112.0
Blue10
42110.4
188013.2
477314.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532301001502003010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1396
#13
32.31.5
16.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
4773
#61
14.51.5
11.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2344
#32
19.01.5
23.021.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1880
#54
13.21.5
7.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5151
#30
12.01.5
9.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
421
#52
10.41.5
9.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End