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Red133
234035.6
159268.0
395126.9
Blue82
17434.0
279145.8
19136.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511540608010014016018020013382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#11
68.00.9
68.369.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
2791
#19
45.81.6
41.139.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2340
#27
35.61.4
22.523.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
191
#29
36.42.5
34.532.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3951
#23
26.91.4
24.225.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
174
#36
34.01.6
38.737.1
Auto
Teleop
End