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Red140
37854.6
402315.9
25036.2
Blue28
301728.5
7329.2
226523.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11247015020025014028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
#28
54.61.9
55.857.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.4
73
#38
29.22.3
16.814.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
#16
36.21.9
31.733.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
3017
#24
28.52.3
27.625.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4023
#42
15.93.0
14.117.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
2265
#40
23.22.3
12.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End