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Red142
34040.6
158530.5
61075.2
Blue127
491448.1
155929.3
400130.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154101050200250300142127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
Unranked
75.20.2
76.175.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.1
4914
Unranked
48.10.9
47.748.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
340
Unranked
40.60.2
36.536.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
4001
Unranked
30.00.9
30.631.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1585
Unranked
30.50.2
33.333.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1559
Unranked
29.30.9
31.132.0
Auto
Teleop
End