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Red124
543314.0
128547.5
37849.3
Blue115
57840.0
2045.8
19126.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110109406080100120140160180124115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
Unranked
49.30.7
51.051.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
20
Unranked
45.80.3
45.545.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1285
Unranked
47.50.7
48.449.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
578
Unranked
40.00.3
39.439.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5433
Unranked
14.01.2
10.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
191
Unranked
26.50.3
24.524.8
Auto
Teleop
End