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Red152
205319.0
301530.3
503037.1
Blue85
52717.7
413419.6
37937.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9560015020025015285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.15.2
28.533.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
379
#22
37.91.6
26.828.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3015
#20
30.35.2
35.240.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
4134
#33
19.61.6
23.525.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2053
#23
19.05.2
25.931.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
527
#36
17.71.6
15.116.8
Auto
Teleop
End