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Red106
523626.0
279131.9
5318.2
Blue141
304434.8
57826.1
35832.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55840100150200250106141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#25
31.93.9
24.228.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
3044
#14
34.85.1
31.937.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5236
#29
26.03.9
18.822.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
358
#18
32.75.1
29.234.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
53
#11
18.23.9
16.220.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
578
#13
26.15.1
18.423.5
Auto
Teleop
End