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Red115
420337.9
319333.5
399037.3
Blue35
35832.7
497514.0
14531.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816405010015020011535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4203
#15
37.93.0
17.020.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
358
#18
32.72.6
32.629.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.33.0
33.136.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
145
#17
31.32.6
19.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3193
#12
33.53.0
28.431.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
4975
#28
14.02.7
14.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End