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Red30
166519.5
41227.8
305914.1
Blue116
222833.4
112654.5
151148.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5987010015020030116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1665
#26
19.52.7
21.218.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 35.0
54.52.8
27.530.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3059
#19
14.12.7
21.919.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.9
48.02.8
29.732.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4122
#30
7.82.7
19.717.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.6
2228
#16
33.42.8
25.428.2
Auto
Teleop
End