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Red58
523630.6
237022.2
304444.3
Blue93
83943.9
279137.4
280938.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891300501502002503003505893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
Unranked
44.31.9
41.739.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
839
Unranked
43.91.5
38.737.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5236
Unranked
30.61.9
28.326.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
2809
Unranked
38.71.5
43.942.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2370
Unranked
22.21.9
25.123.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
2791
Unranked
37.41.5
41.339.8
Auto
Teleop
End