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Red111
25037.7
151142.5
279137.4
Blue116
19041.8
149333.4
280938.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171166080100140160111116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
Unranked
42.50.3
42.942.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
190
Unranked
41.80.0
40.040.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
Unranked
37.70.3
34.534.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2809
Unranked
38.70.0
42.342.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2791
Unranked
37.40.3
39.839.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1493
Unranked
33.40.0
33.633.6
Auto
Teleop
End