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Red146
280938.7
151142.5
523630.6
Blue68
279137.4
304444.3
14538.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12911405010015020025014668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
Unranked
42.51.0
44.345.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3044
Unranked
44.32.4
42.039.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2809
Unranked
38.71.0
55.556.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
145
Unranked
38.12.4
30.728.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5236
Unranked
30.61.0
27.028.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
2791
Unranked
37.42.4
43.641.2
Auto
Teleop
End