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Red142
149333.4
304444.3
2051.6
Blue121
83943.9
237022.2
151142.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13692050150200250142121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
Unranked
51.60.6
57.758.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
839
Unranked
43.91.1
33.734.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3044
Unranked
44.30.6
39.640.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1511
Unranked
42.51.1
45.346.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1493
Unranked
33.40.6
32.032.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
2370
Unranked
22.21.1
19.620.7
Auto
Teleop
End