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Red145
164648.1
330132.0
459517.7
Blue181
320137.5
55427.0
332455.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97996080120140160180145181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#14
48.12.4
41.343.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
55.56.9
47.154.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3301
#43
32.02.4
35.738.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
3201
#15
37.54.1
30.634.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4595
#44
17.73.9
20.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
554
#37
27.06.9
20.827.7
Auto
Teleop
End