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Red106
20155.3
67730.0
283447.9
Blue136
103840.2
498240.5
402850.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151246080100140160180200106136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#16
55.30.5
53.653.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
50.30.7
50.551.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2834
#12
47.90.5
39.138.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
40.51.1
31.732.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
677
#39
30.00.9
23.923.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
1038
#24
40.20.7
40.140.8
Auto
Teleop
End