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Red196
283447.9
1695.7
317622.0
Blue123
122544.0
102466.1
52566.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14121250100250300350196123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#2
95.72.2
89.992.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.7
1024
#18
66.13.9
74.370.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2834
#12
47.92.2
38.540.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.1
525
#35
66.03.9
80.276.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3176
#23
22.02.2
23.826.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.1
1225
#29
44.03.9
46.442.5
Auto
Teleop
End