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Red58
67730.0
421137.1
217123.5
Blue105
500626.9
55427.0
14444.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9010305015020025058105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4211
#46
37.11.7
40.038.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
144
#31
44.50.2
43.243.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
677
#39
30.02.7
23.020.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
554
#37
27.00.3
27.727.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2171
#38
23.51.7
29.127.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
5006
#36
26.90.2
30.530.7
Auto
Teleop
End