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Qual 702014 Queen City Regional
Red131
201652.9
12044.5
317622.0
Blue121
103840.2
381416.3
421137.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12880050100150200250300131121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#8
52.90.5
48.9→49.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.6
1038
#24
40.21.7
40.0→41.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
120
#30
44.50.5
45.8→46.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.4
4211
#46
37.11.7
38.3→40.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3176
#23
22.00.5
26.0→26.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
3814
#34
16.32.4
9.1→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—