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Red147
382114.6
326656.8
400816.7
Blue62
55427.0
283447.9
266534.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions729705015020014762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.83.5
53.857.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
2834
#12
47.91.5
40.739.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4008
#26
16.73.5
16.720.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.3
2665
#17
34.01.5
24.222.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3821
#42
14.65.1
5.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
554
#37
27.02.2
27.925.7
Auto
Teleop
End