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Red32
317913.3
349833.8
238217.2
Blue52
3110.2
64716.7
400514.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503501001503252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3498
#37
33.81.2
30.128.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
647
#53
16.70.7
18.018.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2382
#62
17.21.2
5.13.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
4005
#55
14.81.2
8.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3179
#48
13.30.8
12.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
31
#52
10.21.2
10.912.1
Auto
Teleop
End