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Red97
238921.3
359357.7
316928.5
Blue100
239519.8
493325.3
174248.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998505015020025097100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#14
57.70.0
55.455.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
48.11.0
44.145.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3169
#40
28.50.0
19.019.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
4933
#30
25.31.0
24.625.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2389
#51
21.30.0
22.122.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2395
#31
19.81.0
18.219.2
Auto
Teleop
End