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Red100
400139.8
133443.5
516411.8
Blue42
238636.0
415220.2
475415.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9441015020010042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1334
#12
43.50.7
40.541.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
36.00.4
20.920.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4001
#16
39.80.7
31.932.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.6
4152
#24
20.20.6
13.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5164
#21
11.81.2
13.214.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
4754
#36
15.00.6
14.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End