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Red112
519136.2
532420.6
497646.8
Blue134
490224.1
371045.3
77247.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76103050150200250300112134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#15
46.81.6
36.237.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
772
#18
47.71.7
46.648.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5191
#25
36.22.6
33.135.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
45.31.7
39.641.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5324
#26
20.62.6
11.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
4902
#31
24.11.9
12.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End