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Red58
371045.3
494652.0
515723.1
Blue222
131065.7
238636.0
519136.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021195015020058222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.02.3
48.846.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
65.75.3
57.863.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45.32.3
41.339.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
5191
#25
36.28.8
34.142.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5157
#28
23.13.9
14.610.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
36.05.3
24.629.9
Auto
Teleop
End