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Red150
490224.1
260947.0
434345.2
Blue73
470416.7
132536.8
133443.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98995015020015073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#14
47.02.5
45.648.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1334
#12
43.51.2
45.344.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45.22.5
37.439.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
1325
#32
36.81.2
29.127.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4902
#31
24.12.5
16.819.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
4704
#29
16.72.0
23.121.0
Auto
Teleop
End