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Red103
447658.8
491459.2
475415.0
Blue133
201357.1
532420.6
357143.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13896050200250103133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4914
#30
59.21.4
55.754.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
57.11.5
43.344.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4476
#11
58.81.4
62.160.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.5
3571
#13
43.31.5
45.847.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4754
#36
15.02.4
13.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
5324
#26
20.62.5
13.516.1
Auto
Teleop
End