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Qual 612014 North Bay Regional
Red246
61087.4
434345.2
131065.7
Blue121
77247.7
220050.0
260947.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197138050100250300350246121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
87.42.9
84.8→87.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 37.4
2200
#3
50.01.3
52.0→50.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1310
#4
65.72.9
62.2→65.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.0
772
#18
47.71.3
48.4→47.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4343
#7
45.22.9
41.2→44.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.8
2609
#14
47.01.3
47.3→46.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—