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Red96
497646.8
470416.7
515723.1
Blue144
133443.5
447658.8
499229.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7214305010020025096144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#15
46.80.6
45.045.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
4476
#11
58.80.6
57.558.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5157
#28
23.10.8
22.323.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.4
1334
#12
43.50.6
43.644.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4704
#29
16.70.8
15.916.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.9
4992
#17
29.60.6
30.731.3
Auto
Teleop
End