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Red112
495121.9
371045.3
503520.3
Blue103
496818.0
491459.2
160522.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77103050150200250112103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.31.6
43.044.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
4914
#30
59.20.2
59.359.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4951
#22
21.91.6
19.320.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1605
#35
22.00.3
21.822.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5035
#23
20.31.9
18.420.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
4968
#33
18.00.3
17.818.0
Auto
Teleop
End