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Red103
532420.6
132536.8
494652.0
Blue120
130514.2
201357.1
516411.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11869050100150200250103120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.4
51.351.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
57.12.2
55.657.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1325
#32
36.80.4
37.837.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
1305
#27
14.22.2
12.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5324
#26
20.60.4
21.020.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
5164
#21
11.82.6
9.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End