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Red143
519136.2
406954.8
447658.8
Blue123
131065.7
77247.7
371045.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143163050100200250300350143123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#11
58.80.1
57.857.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
65.70.6
66.365.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4069
#10
54.80.1
53.753.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
772
#18
47.70.6
48.247.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5191
#25
36.20.1
35.034.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
45.30.6
45.845.1
Auto
Teleop
End