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Quarterfinal 2-22014 North Bay Regional
Red208
494652.0
260947.0
495121.9
Blue158
434345.2
497646.8
400139.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114131050100150200250208158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#6
52.01.5
50.7→52.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.2
4976
#15
46.80.5
45.7→46.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2609
#14
47.01.5
45.7→47.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
4343
#7
45.20.5
44.1→44.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4951
#22
21.91.5
20.6→22.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.9
4001
#16
39.80.5
38.7→39.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—