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Red174
447658.8
406954.8
519136.2
Blue165
77247.7
371045.3
131065.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144161050100200250300174165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#11
58.80.5
57.758.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
65.70.1
65.665.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4069
#10
54.80.5
53.754.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
772
#18
47.70.1
47.647.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5191
#25
36.20.5
34.935.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
45.30.1
45.145.3
Auto
Teleop
End