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Red193
131063.4
61073.7
50766.9
Blue154
370519.3
18843.9
293546.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15099050200250300193154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
73.70.8
73.174.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.6
46.00.8
45.246.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63.40.8
62.863.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
188
#20
43.90.8
43.143.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5076
#28
6.90.8
6.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
3705
#25
19.30.8
18.519.3
Auto
Teleop
End