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Red128
50766.9
61073.7
131063.4
Blue113
18843.9
293546.0
370519.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153101050200250300128113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
73.70.3
74.073.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.6
46.00.1
46.046.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63.40.3
63.763.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
188
#20
43.90.1
43.843.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5076
#28
6.90.3
7.26.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
3705
#25
19.30.1
19.319.3
Auto
Teleop
End