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Red52
370519.3
356031.7
425016.9
Blue6
509215.4
509116.3
354116.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472050100150200250526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3560
#14
31.71.0
13.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.4
5091
#16
16.35.0
24.919.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3705
#25
19.31.0
15.416.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
3541
#26
16.15.0
26.921.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4250
#11
16.91.0
11.312.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
5092
#29
15.45.0
14.09.0
Auto
Teleop
End