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Red220
471624.0
491451.0
285248.6
Blue83
434329.3
49399.0
494635.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7446010015020025022083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4914
#21
51.012.5
15.227.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
35.82.7
11.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.612.5
39.752.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.3
29.32.7
28.631.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4716
#18
24.012.5
14.527.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
4939
#19
9.02.7
11.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End