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Red216
181547.8
86520.5
495127.1
Blue78
218525.0
50766.9
90723.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5761010015020021678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1815
#17
47.813.2
20.733.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.8
2185
#23
25.01.5
24.125.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
27.113.2
23.236.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
907
#13
23.41.5
26.327.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
865
#10
20.513.2
13.726.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
5076
#28
6.91.5
10.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End