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Red6
471624.0
74624.6
356031.7
Blue56
86520.5
434329.3
509215.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47580100150200656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3560
#14
31.73.6
16.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
29.30.0
28.628.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
746
#7
24.610.6
21.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
865
#10
20.50.0
13.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4716
#18
24.03.6
18.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
5092
#29
15.41.4
15.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End