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Red54
50949.6
293546.0
430833.5
Blue115
263418.7
400136.4
77244.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389605015020025054115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.6
26.927.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
772
#15
44.62.3
34.036.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4308
#12
33.50.6
9.09.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
4001
#22
36.42.3
28.330.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5094
#24
9.60.6
11.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
2634
#30
18.72.3
24.827.1
Auto
Teleop
End