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Quarterfinal 3-22014 Greater Toronto East Regional
Red152
124169.2
371034.8
317321.3
Blue71
78141.8
398832.5
338643.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13811805010020025030035015271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#14
69.20.3
72.0→72.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 25.7
3386
#28
43.51.0
44.5→43.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3710
#3
34.80.3
38.2→38.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.0
781
#10
41.81.0
42.9→41.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3173
#39
21.30.4
25.0→25.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.2
3988
#8
32.51.0
33.5→32.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—